Overview
Threat Assessment and Security Advisory on Planned
Nationwide Protest in Nigeria

A nationwide continuous protest is planned in Nigeria from August 1st 2024, driven by grievances over economic hardships and government policies. The protest is expected to occur across all 36 states and the Federal Capital Territory. The protesters are calling for significant changes, including lowering fuel prices, reducing education fees, decreasing electricity tariffs,​ and lowering the cost of living. The Nigerian government and security agencies are preparing to respond. The Nigeria Police Force has been instructed to mobilize and equip personnel to prevent the protests from escalating. Internal memos indicate a proactive stance to disperse unlawful gatherings and maintain control over strategic points​. The National Orientation Agency (NOA) has identified the protest organizers and accused them of seeking to destabilize the country. The NOA has deployed 4,000 personnel to monitor the situation and is encouraging dialogue instead of protests​​

Threat Assessment

1. Risk of Civil Unrest
• Scale and Scope: The protest is expected to involve large gatherings in major urban centers,
potentially leading to significant disruptions in public services, transportation, and daily activities.
• Violence Potential: Historical precedence in Nigeria indicates a risk of violent clashes between protesters and security forces. Key urban areas such as Lagos, Abuja, and Port Harcourt are particularly vulnerable to such incidents.
2. Security Force Response
• Preparedness: The Nigerian Police Force and other security agencies have been directed to mobilize
and prepare for the protests. This includes deploying personnel to key locations and ensuring
readiness to control and disperse crowds if necessary.
• Preventive Actions: Measures such as increased surveillance, roadblocks, and potential curfews may be implemented to preemptively manage the protests and maintain order.
3. Government and Institutional Response
• Official Statements: The National Orientation Agency (NOA) has publicly identified protest organizers
and accused them of intending to destabilize the country. Government officials have urged protesters
to seek dialogue instead of engaging in street protests.
• International Warnings: The U.S. Embassy in Nigeria has issued advisories to its citizens, warning
them of potential violence and disruptions and advising them to avoid protest areas.

4. Potential Hotspots
• Major Cities: Protests are expected in Abuja, Lagos, Port Harcourt, Kano, and other major cities.
Specific locations like Bannex Plaza, Berger Junction, Unity Fountain in Abuja, and similar high-traffic
areas may become flashpoints for demonstrations and clashes.

Security Advisory

1. For the General Public
• Avoid Protest Areas: Stay clear of known protest locations and large gatherings. Specific hotspots
include central business districts, government buildings, and major public squares.
• Stay Informed: Regularly monitor local news and official announcements for updates on protest
activities and security advisories.
• Personal Safety Measures: Ensure personal safety by avoiding non-essential travel, keeping
emergency contacts handy, and having a contingency plan in case of unexpected disruptions.
2. For Businesses and Organizations
• Operational Adjustments: Consider remote work arrangements for employees and reschedule non-essential business activities during the protest period.
• Security Measures: Enhance security at business premises, particularly in areas prone to protests. Coordinate with local law enforcement for timely updates and support.
• Employee Safety: Communicate clearly with employees about safety protocols and emergency
contact information. Encourage vigilance and adherence to safety advisories.
3. For Foreign Nationals
• Embassy Contacts: Maintain regular contact with respective embassies for the latest security information and support. The U.S. Embassy, for instance, has issued specific warnings and can provide guidance.
• Travel Precautions: Avoid travel to and within protest-prone areas. Ensure travel documents and
identification are readily accessible.
• Emergency Preparedness: Keep emergency supplies, including food, water, and medical kits, at hand. Have a plan for quick evacuation if the situation deteriorates

Conclusion

The planned nationwide protest in Nigeria poses significant risks of civil unrest, disruptions, and potential violence. It is crucial for individuals, businesses, and foreign nationals to remain vigilant, avoid protest areas, and adhere to security advisories. Coordinated efforts between security agencies and the public will be essential to manage and mitigate the impact of the protests. By taking these precautions, the public can better navigate the challenges posed by the planned protests and ensure their safety during this period of heightened tension.